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Allen lifts Celtics over Bucks in OT

Basketball Betting Lines

11/15/2008 - Milwaukee, WI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ray Allen finished with 27 points and made four key free throws late in overtime, as the Boston Celtics pulled out a 102-97 win over the Milwaukee Bucks.

Paul Pierce led Boston with 28 points -- including a 14-for-15 effort from the free-throw line. Kevin Garnett scored 15 before fouling out as the Celtics rebounded from a loss Friday to Denver. They have won seven of eight overall.

Andrew Bogut led Milwaukee with 20 points despite not playing in the final four minutes of regulation and overtime. He was ejected with 3:58 left after receiving his second technical foul.

Luke Ridnour finished with 19 points, which included the game-tying layup with 1.4 seconds in regulation, before also fouling out. The Bucks were coming off an overtime win over Memphis on Friday.

Neither team scored in overtime until Luc Richard Mbah a Moute went to the free throw line with half the time gone. He made both for a 95-93 Bucks edge. Pierce answered with a three-pointer from the top of the arc, but Garnett fouled out on the other end.

After the teams traded possessions, Dan Gadzuric took a dish from Ridnour for an emphatic dunk and a 97-96 Milwaukee lead with 1:07 left. On the play, Rajon Rondo ran directly into Pierce and the two players were shaken up but still were able to play.

Each team was unsuccessful on its next touch, but with 24.9 seconds on the clock Allen was fouled on a pass into the lane. He made both free throws for a 98-97 Celtics lead.

Richard Jefferson's shot rimmed out, then Allen grabbed the board and was fouled with 10.4 left. He made both shots again to put the Celtics up three. Milwaukee's ensuing touch did not go well, as Gadzuric attempted a mid-range shot that missed. Pierce went to the line with 3.6 on the clock and made two to seal the game.

The contest went to the extra session following a tight end of regulation. With Boston maintaining a slim lead, Ridnour canned a three-pointer to get the Bucks within two. Mbah a Moute then managed to hoist in a layup from the left side with several players dangled on his arms. He was fouled on the play and made the foul shot to give Milwaukee an 89-88 lead with just under three minutes left.

But Pierce put Boston back ahead, 93-89, with two free throws and a shot from behind the arc. Jefferson answered with a jumper, and after a few misses on the teams' next possessions, Milwaukee got the ball and a timeout with 45.7 ticks left.

Coming back into play, Jefferson drove into the lane but was called for pushing off to set up a jumper, keeping the Bucks down two. However, Pierce missed on the Celtics' turn downcourt, and Rondo knocked the ball out of bounds with 8.5 seconds left, giving Milwaukee one last chance.

Ridnour dribbled on the right side of the court, drove past Allen and put in an underhanded layup with 1.4 ticks left to knot the game at 93-93. The Celtics' last-gasp attempt was unsuccessful to send the contest to overtime.

A back-and-forth first quarter ended in a pair of Ramon Sessions free throws that brought the Bucks within 21-20. Boston stretched out its lead in the second quarter, and led 50-38 at halftime.

The game went back-and-forth again in the third quarter, and Boston led 71-59 going into the final stanza. But the Bucks got back into the contest on the strength of an eight-point burst. Mbah a Moute had a tip-in followed by a layup, and Jefferson made a pair of free throws and jumper to pull Milwaukee within 78-76 with 6:45 left in regulation.

Game Notes

Garnett was also assessed a technical foul with 3:58 left in the game, as he and Bogut both seemingly made vague swipes at each others' faces...Mbah a Moute, Jefferson and Sessions all ended with 14 points each for the Bucks...The game featured 10 lead changes and nine technical fouls.


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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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